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Apr 23, 2013
04/13
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all right, let's say apple's report is better than the posted numbers on a lot of websites but also beats what is the high man, some call at this time whisper, the high man, the analyst with the high estimates on the street. that, people, will always cause a raising of numbers for the rest of the year by everyone, or if it is the end of the year for the numbers in the year after it. i use that increase in earnings per share, the ones that they bump it, okay, to figure out several things. first, i try to figure out the increases from real business, actual sales, do they do better? not just accounting changes and share count changes. the latter fools a lot of people. to do what i like to do, i look at the revenue shares. why is that important? because they can produce more, gain more customers either at the expense of others, execution, they're making a better job. they're doing a better company. they're working harder. they're working it better. but a company can easily change the earnings by buying back a ton of stock, not the sales line, but the earnings, simply changes the denominator,
all right, let's say apple's report is better than the posted numbers on a lot of websites but also beats what is the high man, some call at this time whisper, the high man, the analyst with the high estimates on the street. that, people, will always cause a raising of numbers for the rest of the year by everyone, or if it is the end of the year for the numbers in the year after it. i use that increase in earnings per share, the ones that they bump it, okay, to figure out several things. first,...
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Apr 24, 2013
04/13
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apple the stock. this query explains apple's inability to spread the company's huge cash, despite the millions and millions of iphones sold, spread the widespread love of the apple ecosystem all of which were stole repeatedly by management on the conference call to the totally deaf ears of the beleaguered and downgroundhog day prone -- sell sell sell -- analyst community. the reason the stock can lift what reported, what seemed like impressive earnings if you didn't know any better, is everyone seems to own an apple device and the stock. you can't sell iphones to people that have the iphone unless the new models are much better than the old one, which they afternoon. you can't sell stock to people who own it, which they do. however, you can sell samsung, that is happening in recent numbers around the globe. you can sell kimberly-clark, because if they want dividends in steady growth, not choppy declines or decreasing world margins, then pepsi, mickey d's and kimberly are the way to go. apple is the ex
apple the stock. this query explains apple's inability to spread the company's huge cash, despite the millions and millions of iphones sold, spread the widespread love of the apple ecosystem all of which were stole repeatedly by management on the conference call to the totally deaf ears of the beleaguered and downgroundhog day prone -- sell sell sell -- analyst community. the reason the stock can lift what reported, what seemed like impressive earnings if you didn't know any better, is everyone...
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Apr 23, 2013
04/13
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and apple is doing that. second, apple seemed to spurn the social compact so many companies have sought to develop with their shareholders, including kimberly-clark. they didn't seem to be inclined to boost the dividend any aggressive way. they seemed reluctant to recognize they had more cash than they needed and the excess cash belongs to the shareholders which is what the great companies are doing now. now, this -- dividend boosts brought the stock up to the hallowed 3% yield that has attracted many. the decision to return more capital via the buyback than anyone i know working for is quite frankly terrific. both should create a floor for the stock that's not much different from the floor that many other 3% yielders have. hey, listen, what can i tell you, it's still just a stock. but it's the third reason that the stock's been going down that worries me and is why i think you're not going to see it up huge tomorrow. the lack of innovation. yes. it is true, as cook said, that the iphone and ipad continue to
and apple is doing that. second, apple seemed to spurn the social compact so many companies have sought to develop with their shareholders, including kimberly-clark. they didn't seem to be inclined to boost the dividend any aggressive way. they seemed reluctant to recognize they had more cash than they needed and the excess cash belongs to the shareholders which is what the great companies are doing now. now, this -- dividend boosts brought the stock up to the hallowed 3% yield that has...
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Apr 23, 2013
04/13
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it's just -- people love their apple, they hate their apple and they have feelings about apple. >> i love that light saber sound effect. let's get to the economics calendar, thank you very much. here is today's calendar. and it is very housing focused. at 9:00 eastern, you get the fhfa house price index. an hour later, march new home sales. they're expected to rise by 0.7%. we'll watch the home builders like lenar, etcetera, on those. also at 10:00 eastern, is the richmond fed survey. becky talked about some stocks. we're hitting on dupont. let's check on the broader markets. oil down about 0.9%. 88.39. brent crude down a little more, down 1%. rbob gasoline, because, really, you don't care about gasolioil. you care about gasoline, right? >> it's come down significantly. >> yeah, it has, which is good because that may counteract the effects of the payroll tax high. what about gold? let's check the commodities like gold, the ten-year. down about 7%. 7 bucks to $1414. there's been a bit of a move in sort of the euro. we want to keep an eye on that. there's your currency chart here in th
it's just -- people love their apple, they hate their apple and they have feelings about apple. >> i love that light saber sound effect. let's get to the economics calendar, thank you very much. here is today's calendar. and it is very housing focused. at 9:00 eastern, you get the fhfa house price index. an hour later, march new home sales. they're expected to rise by 0.7%. we'll watch the home builders like lenar, etcetera, on those. also at 10:00 eastern, is the richmond fed survey....
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Apr 18, 2013
04/13
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apples to apples comparison, melissa. the big theme park companies that are comparable are really subsidiaries of disney or in the case of, you know, universal, of course, subsidiary of comcast. so there's really not a direct comparable. the closest would be like you said six flags and cedar fair. compared to them, the valuation is a little bit rich. you do have to adjust, of course, for the debt as jean said, there is this 1.8 billion in debt. we did hear about that price about 20 minutes ago, at $27. we understand it could have sold more. but they really do want this thing to pop. blackstone has an interest, of course, in selling additional shares at a high price and the follow on offering and they do have to liquidate their shares over time. >> the bottom line is that you don't recommend it. why do you think there's such a strong investor appetite for this one given the uncertainty in the economy? is it a dearth of similar offerings like this? >> yes, what we're hearing essentially, in this case, it's actually a retail
apples to apples comparison, melissa. the big theme park companies that are comparable are really subsidiaries of disney or in the case of, you know, universal, of course, subsidiary of comcast. so there's really not a direct comparable. the closest would be like you said six flags and cedar fair. compared to them, the valuation is a little bit rich. you do have to adjust, of course, for the debt as jean said, there is this 1.8 billion in debt. we did hear about that price about 20 minutes ago,...
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Apr 18, 2013
04/13
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sound systems apple uses. until apple pulls out of its tailspin you can't own cirrus logic. sorry. let's go to darren in the gamecock state. darren. >> caller: hi, jim. ba-ba-ba-boo-yah. i need some help. >> perfect. all right. >> caller: i took a long -- i took a position in cls at $20, about 500 shares. at $18 i bought 500 shares. got a 3.5% dividend and i don't mind waiting, but what do you suggest? >> well, i've got to tell you, this is a business, the iron ore business, that ever since they did that -- well, this stock has been -- it feels very terminal but it's not terminal, and i know there's a lot of iron ore that can come out. but i've got to tell you, $17. i don't know if i would sell it. it's kind of low. i mean, it's really low. anyway, it's all about the haves and the have nots. when it comes to stock, for now it's sherwin williams paint. that's the fracking fluid cocktail. and you know what i say? time for some boat drinks! "mad money" will be right back. >> announcer: coming up -- core holding?
sound systems apple uses. until apple pulls out of its tailspin you can't own cirrus logic. sorry. let's go to darren in the gamecock state. darren. >> caller: hi, jim. ba-ba-ba-boo-yah. i need some help. >> perfect. all right. >> caller: i took a long -- i took a position in cls at $20, about 500 shares. at $18 i bought 500 shares. got a 3.5% dividend and i don't mind waiting, but what do you suggest? >> well, i've got to tell you, this is a business, the iron ore...
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Apr 16, 2013
04/13
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. >> caller: this is an apple-banana boo-yah. >> okay. >> caller: from the big island. >> oh. oh, mahalo. >> caller: and it is the best one of them all. >> i agree with that. >> caller: now, i have a stock call called mcal. >> oh, you are playing that. well, they are sensitive to the problems in china, and these companies are very good, but people feel that china is slowing down, and i don't want to commit anymore money to mpel, because i have the see the chinese stabilize before people should own the casino stocks. that, ladies and gentlemen, is the conclusion of the lightning round >> announcer: the lightning round is sponsored by td ameritrade. coming up, crude behavior. oil's been on the decline in 2013. and while it makes for a refreshing sign at the gas station, some energy stocks are finding themselves in a slippery situation. could the slide continue? cramer sits down with the ceo of energy 21. ♪ [ indistinct shouting ] [ male announcer ] time and sales data. split-second stats. [ indistinct shouting ] ♪ it's so close to the options floor... [ indistinct shouting,
. >> caller: this is an apple-banana boo-yah. >> okay. >> caller: from the big island. >> oh. oh, mahalo. >> caller: and it is the best one of them all. >> i agree with that. >> caller: now, i have a stock call called mcal. >> oh, you are playing that. well, they are sensitive to the problems in china, and these companies are very good, but people feel that china is slowing down, and i don't want to commit anymore money to mpel, because i have the...
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Apr 16, 2013
04/13
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me, i think netflix is a household name and should be scooped up by mike soft or apple. probably won't happen. but in the interim, the stock is fine. jeff in california. jeff. >> caller: hi, cramer. how are you doing today? i was curious about the real estate market, why it's going up and down so much. if it would be a good time to buy home depot and if i was to buy home depot, what price should i be looking at to purchase the stock. >> frankly, a miracle man, the company doing great. but charitable trust scored back home depot. told the people who described to actionalertsplus.com we were booking profit here. can't tell you to take the stock we're selling. >> it takes two, baby. coca-cola and j & j were the dynamic duo that took this market up. "mad money" will be right back. >>> coming up, blight or bright? gold hasn't been glittering lately. as a deep slide has brought about its worst prop since 1980. but has all the selling created an opportunity? cramer shines a light on the subject in tonight's edition of "off the charts." and later, i.p., oh my. there are some hea
me, i think netflix is a household name and should be scooped up by mike soft or apple. probably won't happen. but in the interim, the stock is fine. jeff in california. jeff. >> caller: hi, cramer. how are you doing today? i was curious about the real estate market, why it's going up and down so much. if it would be a good time to buy home depot and if i was to buy home depot, what price should i be looking at to purchase the stock. >> frankly, a miracle man, the company doing...
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Apr 23, 2013
04/13
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that creates opportunity, because when you have that -- >> opportunities for apple. >> to get into apple. cuts stocks like that. when you have a change in ownership, that's significant. it creates a wonderful opportunity. because you've got a big group leaving, a big group coming in. >> ann abigail, let me go to you. you're quite pessimistic. we welcome you on the show. you have been ae a pessimist. but things have been more optimistic. you're looking for big, big decline. i want you to talk about that. i want you to tell our viewers why you think we're really headed for a problem. >> well, the reason that i -- my work starts with the technical. so we have seen a strong rally out of november. nearly 20% move up. but it's bearish. the buyers are becoming less certain up here. and this really mimics what we have seen in the first and second quarter of 2012 and 2011, quite frankly, where we have this competing battle between not so great fundamentals and then the fed liquidity. that doesn't tend to breed trust. in fact, i would say it probably swings things the other way. so even though buy
that creates opportunity, because when you have that -- >> opportunities for apple. >> to get into apple. cuts stocks like that. when you have a change in ownership, that's significant. it creates a wonderful opportunity. because you've got a big group leaving, a big group coming in. >> ann abigail, let me go to you. you're quite pessimistic. we welcome you on the show. you have been ae a pessimist. but things have been more optimistic. you're looking for big, big decline. i...
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Apr 24, 2013
04/13
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apple will need to innovate. we're in that you got to believe me phase and now we're talking about a time line of the fall. we got support on the dividend and buyback but gross margins and innovation will be key. >> you thought that you would hear about new products even sooner than the fall? >> it was possible that you might hear particularly about a low cost to approach the emerging markets and to offer something for the smartphone user who is more price sensitive. >> hold on a second. if you think of low cost phones, they talked about strength in china. you can't have strength with low cost phones or strengths in emerging markets and not have it impact gross margins. what's more important to you? >> a low cost phone that maintains a margin. they'll need to move some of the product mix out, innovate and i think tvs. i think i radio. something along the lines of i payments. that's what will move the sentiment and move the needle financially. >> i kind of feel this company's pain. after watching the stock be down
apple will need to innovate. we're in that you got to believe me phase and now we're talking about a time line of the fall. we got support on the dividend and buyback but gross margins and innovation will be key. >> you thought that you would hear about new products even sooner than the fall? >> it was possible that you might hear particularly about a low cost to approach the emerging markets and to offer something for the smartphone user who is more price sensitive. >> hold...
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Apr 18, 2013
04/13
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gene, why don't we start with apple. this has been an incredible run up and then an incredible drop. below $400. is this somewhere you saw the stock going? >> no way. this is -- we thought there was a floor at 450, so this is a lot lower than we thought it was going to go. >> and at this point, now that it has reached 400 at least in the intra day trade, does that worry you that there is still more room to decline or do you think at this point it's stabilized? >> we think there's an opportunity here. the street numbers still need to get reset. we're 10% below the street for the june quarter. i think once these estimates get reset, that's the point where investors are going to start to get interesting. the southside still hasn't taken those nebs down. that's the real challenge here. >> you thought 450 was the bottom at 455 or at -- when did you make that prediction sflp. >> yeah. it was about three weeks ago. we basically took our numbers down. >> so when it was at 750, you thought the bottom was 700. when it was 7 hup, y
gene, why don't we start with apple. this has been an incredible run up and then an incredible drop. below $400. is this somewhere you saw the stock going? >> no way. this is -- we thought there was a floor at 450, so this is a lot lower than we thought it was going to go. >> and at this point, now that it has reached 400 at least in the intra day trade, does that worry you that there is still more room to decline or do you think at this point it's stabilized? >> we think...
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Apr 16, 2013
04/13
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. >> it's interesting, that's the same thing people said about the shares of apple when they were selling off, that you had to sell your winners to pay for other stuff. >> if you need liquidity, you go where -- >> i think it's more japan than cyprus, don't you think? >> it's more dependent on cyprus? >> no. more japan than cyprus. >> there were rumors that cyprus was selling gold. >> i saw those rumors. >> to get it started, there were so many -- and it was pointed out yesterday, i think i was reading something from peter chip, who loves gold, that when it went up to a thousand or 1200, maybe that was all fundamentally true. but then once it went up to 1200, but then once all the investment guys that were having trouble getting returned in equities, once they saw that there was momentum there, all kinds of investment money went into it to try to chase return. >> but he was saying 1200 is fundamental? that's still down a couple hundred from where it is now. >> there were people saying 1260 people last week saying 800 or 900. >> so does bid coin track gold? >> apparently. apparently it coll
. >> it's interesting, that's the same thing people said about the shares of apple when they were selling off, that you had to sell your winners to pay for other stuff. >> if you need liquidity, you go where -- >> i think it's more japan than cyprus, don't you think? >> it's more dependent on cyprus? >> no. more japan than cyprus. >> there were rumors that cyprus was selling gold. >> i saw those rumors. >> to get it started, there were so many --...
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Apr 17, 2013
04/13
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>> apple. >> because it's an ipad. >> exactly. ipads there and other companies, google nexus is a big one. samsung has some coming down the line here. we'll diversify away from the ipad but intel is underrepresented there. >> what about these new half tablet, half pc things that are half clam shell but you can pull them apart. does intel have a chance to lead there? >> there are a number of factors. the one you're referring to is a convertible. they are really focused more on ultrabooks and sliders where you can actually slide the top display and flip it over and it turns into a tablet. >> they are expensive and haeav, right? >> some ultrabooks will be priced at 499 this year. that's a new low price point for them. >> the stuff with intel in that their bragging rights have to do with manufacturing process and how well they're doing there. is that a reason to buy the stock? when gross margins go up, i heard that you buy stock when margins are rising and sell it when they're going back down. are either one of those factors enough to offset what's happening in pcs? >> a sticking point wi
>> apple. >> because it's an ipad. >> exactly. ipads there and other companies, google nexus is a big one. samsung has some coming down the line here. we'll diversify away from the ipad but intel is underrepresented there. >> what about these new half tablet, half pc things that are half clam shell but you can pull them apart. does intel have a chance to lead there? >> there are a number of factors. the one you're referring to is a convertible. they are really...
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Apr 17, 2013
04/13
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apples are a little bit, they're sort of empty calories. >> how about beets? >> if you like beets it gets color to the juice. i find that very sugary. >> that's the point. >> or you can add sugar. >> no, no, no, no. no, no, no. see how pretty this looks and chard has wonderful nutrients as a spinach. couldn't find any spinach growing in the garden centers yesterday. >> these are feisty. >> the roots are well developed. that's what you look for. >> my roots are well developed as well because i'm having the same issue. >> that looks good. >> thank you. >> those are going to grow so the peppers are going to get big and the tomato much larger than that. you'll probably have to stake it. >> a tea garden, salsa garden and healthy juices. >> the fourth is a salad garden. this is just salad. they call this snip garden. that will give you salad for two people for quite a long time if you just keep snipping. >> martha, always good information. nice to see you. >> we're back in a few moments and show you how to turn trash into cash. first this is "today" on nbc. is it wr
apples are a little bit, they're sort of empty calories. >> how about beets? >> if you like beets it gets color to the juice. i find that very sugary. >> that's the point. >> or you can add sugar. >> no, no, no, no. no, no, no. see how pretty this looks and chard has wonderful nutrients as a spinach. couldn't find any spinach growing in the garden centers yesterday. >> these are feisty. >> the roots are well developed. that's what you look for. >>...